Divorce Risk Calculator

Realistic odds before you say ‘I do’

Even with the best of intentions divorce is still a risk. This tool uses known, validated risk factors from thousands of marriages across dozens of studies to estimate your divorce risk. Whenever possible I tried to avoid double counting overlapping risk factors from strong group biases, but the nature of an excercise like this is that it's not 100% perfect, so use it primarily as an educational excercise... or maybe a reality check.

Why is this different from most other divorce rate calculators? Well, most of the divorce rate calculators I've seen tend to be shorter and based on fewer studies, and because they're not custom code, they can't really do anything about overlapping risks so they tend to just ignore them, but the big thing is that they tend not to talk about risk factors that make folks uncomfortable... or maybe just aren't politically correct... I'd rather just tell you what the risks actualyly are based on the available studies.

Heads Up... this is a pretty long survey (but most of the questions are pretty easy). I tried to apply as many factors as I possibly could instead of just picking the popular ones. They're all backed up by studies and data, references on the results page. When you're done it will try to save itself to a cookie so you can look at your answers later (as long as you're on the same browser... I don't save anything to any other servers so any data you enter never leaves your computer)

Also in interest of full transparency I'm going to include a reference page that shows the studies I'm using, and provding a layman's explanation of what they say, along w/ a nerd version of how I integrate it into the calculator.

updates: 12/17/25, Added reference page.

updates: 12/02/25, Updated header info, revalidated survey data

updates: 11/21/25, added extra context